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Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Negative as Crypto Market Eyes Major Rebound

Vignesh S G2 Apr 20252 min read

Bitcoin has had a rough month, dropping about 9.7% and trading nearly 30% below its all-time high. For many, this might seem like a setback – but some experts see it differently.

Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. believes Bitcoin is gearing up for a strong recovery. In a recent post on X, he pointed out that corporate investors are quietly buying, long-term holders are accumulating, and selling pressure remains low. But if that’s the case, why isn’t Bitcoin soaring yet?

Adler says the answer lies in macroeconomic challenges. However, he also suggests that one key shift – whether from the Federal Reserve or the Trump administration – could send Bitcoin surging by 50% in the near future.

Could this be the start of Bitcoin’s next big rally? Let’s take a closer look.

BTC Funding Rate Drops: What It Means for Bitcoin

According to Coinalyze data, the Bitcoin funding rate has dropped below zero on several major exchanges.

  • Bybit: -0.0025%
  • BitMEX: -0.0055%

However, on other platforms like Huobi, Kraken, OKX, and Woo X, the funding rate has risen above zero:

  • Woo X: +0.0014%
  • Binance: +0.0030%
  • Huobi: +0.0000%
  • Kraken: +0.0013%
  • OKX: +0.0015%

A Pattern in Bitcoin’s Market Cycles

Adler pointed out that similar funding rate patterns have appeared five times in previous Bitcoin cycles. Four of those times, BTC saw a price surge, while once, the market declined.

He remains optimistic, emphasizing that corporate investors are still buying, long-term holders are accumulating, and experienced traders have stopped selling. On-chain data also suggests that the market is stabilizing after a period of overheating.

Could Bitcoin Reach 130K?

While Adler acknowledges that weak macroeconomic conditions are a challenge, he believes a policy shift could trigger a major bull run. He predicts that Bitcoin could reach $130K dollars, especially if the market attracts more institutional investment through ETFs.

With increasing investor interest and possible policy changes ahead, the next few weeks could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price movement.

Bitcoin’s next big move might not be far away – whether it’s a breakout or a bust, the market is gearing up for something big.

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FAQs

  • Bitcoin funding rates drop when short positions outnumber longs, signaling bearish sentiment or market uncertainty among traders.
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Vignesh S G
Vignesh S G

Author

Vignesh is a young journalist with a decade of experience. A proud alumnus of IIJNM, Bengaluru, he spent six years as a Sub-Editor for a leading business magazine, published from Kerala. His interest in futuristic technologies took him to a US-based software company specialising in Web3, Blockchain and AI. This stint inspired him to view the future of journalism through the lens of next generation technologies. Now, he covers the crypto scene for Coinpedia, uncovering a vibrant new world where technology and journalism converge.

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