Is Altcoin Season Finally Here? Rogue Crypto Thinks It’s Close
Mustafa Mulla24 Apr 20253 min read
The long wait for altcoin season might finally be coming to an end. After months of flat markets and investor uncertainty, Rogue Crypto believes we’re on the edge of a major shift. With the crypto market cap surpassing $3 trillion and Bitcoin soaring to a 7-week high of $94,600, there’s a growing sense that altcoins are about to take center stage.
Is it just another market hype, or are we really about to see a game-changing moment? Let’s dive in and explore what’s driving this belief that altcoin season is just around the corner.
The “Shakeout Phase” Might Be Over
Rogue Crypto says the market has finished the “shakeout phase” — a period marked by fear, low activity, and investor hesitation.
Now, signals are pointing to a shift. The market looks ready to move again. And according to Rogue, this shift is being pushed by recent political and economic events, especially actions taken by Donald Trump.
Trump’s Economic Pressure: A Crypto Trigger?
Trump’s latest moves — like raising tariffs, ongoing negotiations with China, and applying pressure on the Federal Reserve — are shaking up global markets.
While these steps are causing short-term uncertainty, they could also lead the Fed to cut interest rates and add more money into the economy.
This kind of policy often benefits crypto. Especially now, with bond yields above 4.4%, retail businesses under stress, and recession fears increasing, many investors are looking for new opportunities.
Bitcoin Dominance Still Low, Altcoins May Soon Rise
Rogue points to the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart as a key signal. In past bull markets, when BTC dominance reached around 70%, it meant Bitcoin was close to peaking, and investors began shifting money into altcoins.
Currently, BTC dominance is at 64.43%. This suggests Bitcoin may still have some room to grow, but we’re getting closer to the point where altcoins typically surge.
Is 2025 Following the Same Pattern?
Looking back at previous market cycles — in 2017 and 2020 — Bitcoin dropped sharply, recovered, and then went on to hit new all-time highs.
Rogue believes 2025 is shaping up in a similar way: first a big shakeout, followed by a breakout. The market seems to be following the same pattern once again.
One More Thing: Watch the Money Supply!
Another important factor? The M2 money supply, which tracks how much cash is available in the economy.
When there’s more money in circulation, people tend to invest more — and crypto prices often rise. If the Fed increases the money supply, possibly under pressure from Trump, it could push markets higher.
What the Altcoin Index Tells Us
Right now, the Altcoin Season Index says it’s still Bitcoin season. BTC is outperforming most altcoins, which means the full altcoin rally hasn’t started yet.
To officially call it “altcoin season,” 75% of the top 50 altcoins need to beat Bitcoin’s performance over the past 90 days. So far, only 22 are doing better than BTC
So, When Will Altcoin Season Start?
If you’re waiting for the right time to enter the altcoin market, Rogue’s view is simple: We’re almost there.
With Bitcoin dominance climbing, liquidity likely increasing, and macro shifts underway, the setup is looking very familiar.
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Altcoin season isn’t here just yet — but it could begin within the next week or two.
FAQs
- Trump’s pressure on the Fed could lead to rate cuts and liquidity boosts, historically fueling crypto market growth.
